UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Middleweight
VS
40%
Watson
60%
Nedkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:42
TW
Tom Watson
"Kong"
17 – 9
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
SN
Stanislav Nedkov
"Stucky"
12 – 2
Knockout Artist2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nedkov

Nedkov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Watson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Nedkov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Nedkov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nedkov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Watson
Nedkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"+
Reach
71"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Watson
Nedkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
18.9
35.4
Performance Avg
49.3
40
Quality of Victory
60
10
Momentum Score
43
Watson
Nedkov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
11
7
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
28Clinch5
3Ground2
Watson
Nedkov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Watson
Nedkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Watson
Nedkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Watson
Nedkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Watson
Nedkov
Striking5.6 / 10.0Volume4.6 / 0.7Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Watson
Strike Zones
Nedkov
Watson
Attacking
24HEAD7BODY1LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Nedkov
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD7BODY1LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Watson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Nedkov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Nedkov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Watson
RND
Nedkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Watson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L2012-092013-082014-082015-08
WinLossTrend

Nedkov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.0W2.8L2.7L2011-082013-022015-01
WinLossTrend

Watson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Nick CatoneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08

Nedkov · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7
Submission
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · KO · R2
Tom WatsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Upcoming
Thiago Silva
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

News & Media

Tom Watson · Stanislav Nedkov
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