UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Volkov
52%
Acosta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexander
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40 – 11
6'7"80" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Waldo
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
17 – 3
Striker34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Acosta

This is a genuine toss-up — Volkov at 48% vs Acosta at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Acosta throws more volume but Volkov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkov
Acosta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'4"
80"+
Reach
78"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkov
Acosta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
65.8
54.7
Performance Avg
55.7
42
Quality of Victory
42
88
Momentum Score
100
Volkov
Acosta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
15
8
Body
1
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
21Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Volkov
Acosta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Acosta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/51 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Volkov
Acosta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Volkov
Acosta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkov
Acosta
Striking5.8 / 6.5Volume5.5 / 5.5Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.2 / 0.8Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure5.7 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Volkov
Strike Zones
Acosta
Volkov
Attacking
5HEAD8BODY8LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Acosta
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD8BODY8LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the body (38% of attacks) — Acosta absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Acosta targets the head (88% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkov
RND
Acosta
0/0R00/0

Volkov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.4W5.2L4.5W6.4L5.2W5.1W7.2L4.9W3.9L6.1W5.8W5.7W5.7W7.2L6.3W6.0W2016-112019-112021-102024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Acosta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W6.1L5.0W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.0W6.7L6.0W5.7W6.5W6.8L2022-102024-012025-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Volkov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Acosta · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Shamil GazievRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

News & Media

Alexander Volkov · Waldo Cortes Acosta
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