METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
29%
Akhmedov
71%
Weidman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris WeidmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Omari Akhmedov · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weidman
→
Actual result
Weidman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Weidman is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Akhmedov's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AkhmedovWeidman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Akhmedov
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akhmedov
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
46.0
47.0
Performance Avg
57.0
36
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
51
Akhmedov
Weidman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
5.9
6.6
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Akhmedov
Weidman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akhmedov
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Akhmedov
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Akhmedov
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akhmedov
Weidman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AkhmedovWeidman
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWeidman
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akhmedov
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischDecision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08