UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
37%
Akhmedov
63%
Weidman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weidman
Weidman holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Akhmedov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Weidman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Akhmedov's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Akhmedov
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akhmedov
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.2
51.1
47.0
Performance Avg
57.0
36
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
51
Akhmedov
Weidman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
34%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
9
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground8
Akhmedov
Weidman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akhmedov
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Akhmedov
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Akhmedov
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akhmedov
Weidman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AkhmedovWeidman
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWeidman
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Weidman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akhmedov
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0
Akhmedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Weidman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom BreeseRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08