UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Bantamweight
VS
21%
Brimage
79%
Garbrandt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garbrandt
Garbrandt is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garbrandt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Brimage throws more volume but Garbrandt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brimage's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Garbrandt has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brimage
Garbrandt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brimage
Garbrandt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
56.6
40.2
Performance Avg
51.6
34
Quality of Victory
47
73
Momentum Score
97
Brimage
Garbrandt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
21
5
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Brimage
Garbrandt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brimage
Garbrandt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/14 fights
Chin rating based on
18/22 fights
Brimage
Garbrandt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
97
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Brimage
Garbrandt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brimage
Garbrandt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
BrimageGarbrandt
Strike Zones
Brimage
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedGarbrandt
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brimage targets the head (50% of attacks) — Garbrandt absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Garbrandt targets the head (88% of attacks) — Brimage absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brimage
RND
Garbrandt
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Brimage · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Garbrandt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Brimage · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jimmie RiveraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R1
Jumabieke TuerxunRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Russell DoaneRating 5.5Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04
Garbrandt · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Xiao LongRating 5.3Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12