UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
14 May 2022
Flyweight
VS
95%
Taira
5%
Candelario
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tatsuro
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
18 – 2
5'7"70" reachOrthodox26 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 70
CC
Carlos Candelario
"The Cannon"
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'8"
CFR 4

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Taira

Taira is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 66 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Taira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Taira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Taira
Candelario
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
26+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Taira
Candelario
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.7
3.8
61.0
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Taira
Candelario
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.5
61%
Strike Accuracy
38%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
29Ground0
Taira
Candelario
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taira
Candelario
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Taira
Candelario
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Taira
Candelario
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Taira
Candelario
Striking5.3 / 0.0Volume3.6 / 0.0Grappling3.6 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure7.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Taira
Strike Zones
Candelario
Taira
Attacking
28HEAD1BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Candelario
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD1BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Taira targets the head (97% of attacks) — Candelario absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Taira
RND
Candelario
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Taira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.5W5.3W5.9W5.5W5.2W6.4W6.3L7.0W6.1W5.6L2022-052023-072024-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Candelario · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0107.2L3.4L2022-052022-11
WinLossTrend

Taira · Last 5

L · KO · R5
Joshua VanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

Candelario · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Jake HadleyRating 3.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuro TairaRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

News & Media

Tatsuro Taira · Carlos Candelario
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