UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Mexico City, Mexico
15 Nov 2014
Bantamweight
VS
22%
Beltran
78%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vera
Vera is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Vera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Beltran's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Beltran
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Beltran
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
51.4
39.9
Performance Avg
50.4
33
Quality of Victory
46
45
Momentum Score
39
Beltran
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
15
1
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance6
2Clinch2
4Ground11
Beltran
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Beltran
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
78
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Beltran
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Beltran
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
73%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beltran
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
BeltranVera
Strike Zones
Beltran
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedVera
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (73% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (79% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beltran
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
Beltran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Joe SotoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R2
Reginaldo VieiraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Guangyou NingRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
Vera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08