UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz
Manchester, United Kingdom
26 Oct 2013
Lightweight
VS
59%
Iaquinta
41%
Hallmann
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Iaquinta
This is a genuine toss-up — Iaquinta at 59% vs Hallmann at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Iaquinta throws more volume but Hallmann connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
18.2
47.0
Performance Avg
41.7
38
Quality of Victory
47
51
Momentum Score
59
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
14
5
Body
6
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.3
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
6/24 fights
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Iaquinta
Hallmann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
IaquintaHallmann
Strike Zones
Iaquinta
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedHallmann
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (65% of attacks) — Hallmann absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Hallmann targets the head (64% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Iaquinta
RND
Hallmann
0/0R00/0
Iaquinta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Hallmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Iaquinta · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Hallmann · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · R2
Magomed MustafaevRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
W · Sub · R3
Yves EdwardsRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Al IaquintaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10