METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Oct 2020
Featherweight
VS
41%
Zalal
59%
Topuria
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ilia TopuriawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Youssef Zalal · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Topuria
→
Actual result
Topuria wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Zalal at 41% vs Topuria at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZalalTopuria
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zalal
Topuria
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Zalal
Topuria
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
78.3
49.7
Performance Avg
73.5
38
Quality of Victory
62
66
Momentum Score
100
Zalal
Topuria
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
8.1
5.3
Style: Volume
3.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Zalal
Topuria
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zalal
Topuria
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Zalal
Topuria
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
100
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Zalal
Topuria
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zalal
Topuria
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
ZalalTopuria
Strike Zones
Zalal
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTopuria
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zalal targets the head (67% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Topuria targets the head (100% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zalal
RND
Topuria
0/0R00/0
Zalal · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Topuria · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06