UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Featherweight
VS
56%
Gutierrez
44%
Morales
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:27
Chris
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22 – 7
5'9"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
VM
Vince Morales
"Vandetta"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded6-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gutierrez

This is a genuine toss-up — Gutierrez at 56% vs Morales at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gutierrez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gutierrez
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gutierrez
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
34.6
49.3
Performance Avg
32.0
35
Quality of Victory
37
25
Momentum Score
30
Gutierrez
Morales
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
61%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
1
16
Leg
0
RangeRange
24Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Gutierrez
Morales
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gutierrez
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Gutierrez
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
30
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Gutierrez
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gutierrez
Morales
Striking4.4 / 3.8Volume7.0 / 5.8Grappling1.7 / 1.6Wrestling1.2 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Gutierrez
Strike Zones
Morales
Gutierrez
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY16LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Morales
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY16LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gutierrez targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (67% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gutierrez
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Gutierrez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.0W6.0L5.1W6.8L5.0W5.3W7.0L2018-112021-022023-042025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0106.8L5.6W5.5L3.2L4.5W5.0W6.0L5.5L6.2L7.4L7.1L6.0L2018-112020-052022-052025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Morales · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

News & Media

Chris Gutierrez · Vince Morales
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