UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Lightweight
VS
67%
Iaquinta
33%
Sanchez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Iaquinta
Iaquinta holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Iaquinta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Iaquinta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
+72"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
12.7
47.0
Performance Avg
46.0
38
Quality of Victory
37
51
Momentum Score
20
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
1
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance4
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
32/44 fights
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
32%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
13
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Iaquinta
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
IaquintaSanchez
Strike Zones
Iaquinta
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Iaquinta
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Iaquinta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Iaquinta · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09