METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
25%
Thomson
75%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Thomson · UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Green
→
Actual result
Green wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Green is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThomsonGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thomson
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomson
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
50.1
45.1
Performance Avg
47.2
47
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
85
Thomson
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.5
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
3.5
Style: Volume
5.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
3
Body
8
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance15
1Clinch3
3Ground0
Thomson
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thomson
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/31 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Thomson
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Thomson
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thomson
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
ThomsonGreen
Strike Zones
Thomson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedGreen
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thomson targets the head (53% of attacks) — Green absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the body (44% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thomson
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Thomson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonDecision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
Green · Last 5
Upcoming
Esteban RibovicsUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12