UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
26%
Thomson
74%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JT
Josh Thomson
"The Punk"
22 – 9
5'10"71" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
King
King Green
35 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

Green is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Thomson
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
47
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomson
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
49.0
45.1
Performance Avg
45.9
47
Quality of Victory
38
43
Momentum Score
85
Thomson
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
3
Body
8
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance15
1Clinch3
3Ground0
Thomson
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thomson
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/31 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Thomson
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Thomson
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
44%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thomson
Green
Striking7.5 / 3.6Volume3.5 / 5.6Grappling0.8 / 2.9Wrestling0.6 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.9Pressure6.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Thomson
Strike Zones
Green
Thomson
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD8BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Green
Attacking
6HEAD8BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thomson targets the head (53% of attacks) — Green absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the body (44% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Thomson
RND
Green
0/0R00/0

Thomson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W1.5L5.3W5.5L6.2L6.0L2003-092004-082014-012015-07
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Thomson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · Dec · R5
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
W · KO · R2
Nate DiazRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · KO · R1
Yves EdwardsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Josh Thomson · King Green
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