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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Lightweight
VS
41%
Green
59%
Ruffy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
King
King Green
3517
5'10"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Mauricio
Mauricio Ruffy
132
Knockout Artist2-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 71
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuffywinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:07
def. King Green · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ruffy
Actual result
Ruffy wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 41% vs Ruffy at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ruffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Green's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GreenRuffy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Green
Ruffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
40
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Ruffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.1
70.9
47.2
Performance Avg
64.5
40
Quality of Victory
52
85
Momentum Score
88
Green
Ruffy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
9.7
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.1
5.4
Style: Volume
3.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Green
Ruffy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Green
Ruffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
32/52 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Green
Ruffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
88
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Green
Ruffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Ruffy
Striking4.1 / 9.7Volume5.4 / 3.3Grappling2.7 / 0.5Wrestling1.9 / 0.3Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 8.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.7
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Green
Strike Zones
Ruffy
Green
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Ruffy
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ruffy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ruffy targets the head (100% of attacks) — Green absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Ruffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Green · Last 5

Upcoming
Esteban Ribovics
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinney
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy Stephens
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel Zellhuber
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

Ruffy · Last 5

Upcoming
Arman Tsarukyan
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Michael Chandler
KO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Rafael Fiziev
KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint Denis
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

News & Media

King Green · Mauricio Ruffy
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