UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Kansas City, USA
26 Apr 2025
Featherweight
VS
87%
Cuamba
13%
Romero
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:55
TC
Timmy Cuamba
"Twilight"
10 – 4
5'9"71" reachOrthodox27 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 42
Roberto
Roberto Romero
"El Charro Negro"
8 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cuamba

Cuamba is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cuamba has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Cuamba has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cuamba
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
27
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cuamba
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.8
6.1
40.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Cuamba
Romero
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
3
4
Body
5
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
22Distance12
1Clinch1
1Ground0
Cuamba
Romero
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cuamba
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Cuamba
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cuamba
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cuamba
Romero
Striking5.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Cuamba
Strike Zones
Romero
Cuamba
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD5BODY5LEGS13 absorbed
Romero
Attacking
3HEAD5BODY5LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cuamba targets the head (75% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the body (38% of attacks) — Cuamba absorbs 38% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cuamba
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cuamba · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.6L5.2W5.8W3.7L2024-022024-062025-042025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Romero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.3L3.1L2024-112025-04
WinLossTrend

Cuamba · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Benardo SopajRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
ChangHo LeeRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Roberto RomeroRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Bolaji OkiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

Romero · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Timmy CuambaRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

News & Media

Timmy Cuamba · Roberto Romero
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