METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Middleweight
VS
66%
Herman
34%
Noke
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
2716
6'1"77" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
KN
Kyle Noke
2210
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Ed HermanwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:15
def. Kyle Noke · UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Herman
Actual result
Herman wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Herman holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Noke has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Noke has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HermanNoke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Herman
Noke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
45+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Herman
Noke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
19.5
47.4
Performance Avg
50.4
44
Quality of Victory
51
82
Momentum Score
59
Herman
Noke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
7.3
3.5
Style: Volume
2.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground9
Herman
Noke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
5
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herman
Noke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
12/32 fights
Herman
Noke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Herman
Noke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herman
Noke
Striking4.1 / 6.0Volume3.5 / 2.3Grappling3.8 / 3.1Wrestling2.7 / 2.1Submission3.9 / 3.3Pressure6.4 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Herman
Strike Zones
Noke
Herman
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Noke
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Noke absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Noke targets the head (50% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herman
RND
Noke
0/0R00/0

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak Cummings
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo Menifield
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike Rodriguez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis Ibragimov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick Cummins
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Noke · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari Akhmedov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Keita Nakamura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Alex Morono
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Peter Sobotta
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Jonavin Webb
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05

News & Media

Ed Herman · Kyle Noke
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