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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Featherweight
VS
54%
Bektic
46%
Doane
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:22
MB
Mirsad Bektic
13 – 4
5'8"70" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
RD
Russell Doane
15 – 8
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Mirsad BekticwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:22
def. Russell Doane · UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bektic
→
Actual result
Bektic wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bektic at 54% vs Doane at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Doane has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bektic's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Doane has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BekticDoane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bektic
Doane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bektic
Doane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
16.4
48.4
Performance Avg
41.9
41
Quality of Victory
45
84
Momentum Score
49
Bektic
Doane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.3
32%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Bektic
Doane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bektic
Doane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
8/23 fights
Bektic
Doane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Bektic
Doane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bektic
Doane
Striking4.5 / 4.1Volume5.2 / 3.4Grappling2.5 / 3.5Wrestling1.8 / 2.4Submission1.7 / 3.3Pressure5.3 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Bektic
Strike Zones
Doane
Bektic
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Doane
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bektic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Doane absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Doane targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bektic absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bektic
RND
Doane
0/0R00/0

Bektic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5L5.0W4.5W1.6L6.2L4.3L2014-042016-102018-062020-09
WinLossTrend

Doane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L2.0L1.5L5.0W4.4L2014-012014-092016-072017-062018-02
WinLossTrend

Bektic · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo LamasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Godofredo PepeyRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

Doane · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Kwan Ho KwakRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Mirsad BekticRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Jerrod SandersRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07

News & Media

Mirsad Bektic · Russell Doane
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