METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Featherweight
VS
50%
Ortega
50%
Lopes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Diego LopeswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brian Ortega · UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortega
→
Actual result
Lopes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortega at 50% vs Lopes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OrtegaLopes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortega
Lopes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
35
Age
+31
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Ortega
Lopes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
62.9
53.7
Performance Avg
57.5
48
Quality of Victory
49
80
Momentum Score
69
Ortega
Lopes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
7.1
/ 10
8.0
Style: Pressure
7.1
2.2
Style: Volume
3.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
40
2
Body
10
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
31Distance41
1Clinch4
0Ground10
Ortega
Lopes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortega
Lopes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
10/35 fights
Ortega
Lopes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Ortega
Lopes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
71%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortega
Lopes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
OrtegaLopes
Strike Zones
Ortega
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
55 absorbedLopes
Attacking
55 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortega targets the head (91% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Lopes targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortega
RND
Lopes
0/0R00/0
Ortega · Last 5
Upcoming
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