UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger
Omaha, USA
15 Feb 2012
Featherweight
VS
57%
Brookins
43%
Rocha
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:32
JB
Jonathan Brookins
16 – 10
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
VR
Vagner Rocha
"Ceara"
14 – 4
Submission Hunter2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brookins

This is a genuine toss-up — Brookins at 57% vs Rocha at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Brookins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Striking split: Brookins throws more volume but Rocha connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rocha has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Brookins
Rocha
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
40+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brookins
Rocha
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
16.1
64.0
Performance Avg
39.7
80
Quality of Victory
50
45
Momentum Score
36
Brookins
Rocha
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
44%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
4
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Brookins
Rocha
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brookins
Rocha
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Brookins
Rocha
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Brookins
Rocha
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brookins
Rocha
Striking5.8 / 0.5Volume4.8 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.7 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Brookins
Strike Zones
Rocha
Brookins
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Rocha
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brookins targets the head (72% of attacks) — Rocha absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Rocha targets the head (57% of attacks) — Brookins absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brookins
RND
Rocha
0/0R00/0

Brookins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.6W5.5L5.0W4.2L2.8L2010-122011-092012-022012-062012-12
WinLossTrend

Rocha · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L5.2W1.5L3.8L2011-062011-092012-022014-11
WinLossTrend

Brookins · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · KO · R1
Vagner RochaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Erik KochRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 4.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12

Rocha · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Jake MatthewsRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
Jonathan BrookinsRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Sub · R2
Cody McKenzieRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
L · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06

News & Media

Jonathan Brookins · Vagner Rocha
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