Frankie Edgar vs Brian Ortega — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya

Las Vegas, USA

3 Mar 2018

Featherweight

29%

Edgar

71%

Ortega

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:44

Frankie Edgar

"The Answer"

23 – 11

5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 25

Brian Ortega

"T-City"

16 – 5

Pressure Fighter2-fight slide35 yrsSwitch69" reach5'8"

CFR 62

★ Official Result

Brian OrtegawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:44

def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Ortega

→

Actual result

Ortega wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Ortega is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

EdgarOrtega

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Edgar

Ortega

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"

Height

+5'8"

68"

Reach

+69"

Age

+35

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

Edgar

Ortega

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

25.4

62.1

48.0

Performance Avg

53.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Edgar

Ortega

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

5.0

/ 10

4.2

Style: Pressure

8.0

6.1

Style: Volume

2.2

4 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

27Distance17

0Clinch6

0Ground2

Edgar

Ortega

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

1.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.0

1.1

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Edgar

Ortega

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

3 consec. KOs

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.4 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

30/34 fights

Chin rating based on

15/21 fights

Edgar

Ortega

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

L · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · KO · R1

Edgar

Ortega

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

88%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar

Ortega

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.0

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.3

1.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.0

1.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

4.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.0

6.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.2

Edgar

Strike Zones

Ortega

Edgar

Attacking

27 landed

Absorbing

25 absorbed

Ortega

Attacking

25 landed

Absorbing

27 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Edgar targets the head (44% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 44% of strikes there

🎯Ortega targets the head (84% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar

RND

Ortega

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Chris Gutierrez

KO/TKO

UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

L · KO · R3

Marlon Vera

KO/TKO

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

L · KO · R1

Cory Sandhagen

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02

W · Dec · R5

Pedro Munhoz

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08

L · KO · R1

Chan Sung Jung

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Ortega · Last 5

Upcoming

Renato Moicano

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R5

Aljamain Sterling

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Diego Lopes

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

W · Sub · R3

Yair Rodriguez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

L · KO · R1

Yair Rodriguez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Brian Ortega

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