UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
Las Vegas, USA
3 Mar 2018
Featherweight
VS
29%
Edgar
71%
Ortega
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:44
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
Brian
Brian Ortega
"T-City"
16 – 5
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide35 yrsSwitch69" reach5'8"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortega

Ortega is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Ortega throws more volume but Edgar connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edgar
Ortega
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
44
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Edgar
Ortega
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
62.1
48.0
Performance Avg
53.7
39
Quality of Victory
48
68
Momentum Score
80
Edgar
Ortega
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
21
10
Body
3
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance17
0Clinch6
0Ground2
Edgar
Ortega
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Ortega
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Edgar
Ortega
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
80
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Edgar
Ortega
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
88%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Edgar
Ortega
Striking3.5 / 5.0Volume6.1 / 2.2Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.6 / 3.0Submission1.1 / 5.0Pressure4.2 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Edgar
Strike Zones
Ortega
Edgar
Attacking
12HEAD10BODY5LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Ortega
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD10BODY5LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (44% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Ortega targets the head (84% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Edgar
RND
Ortega
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Ortega · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5W5.5W6.0W6.3W5.7W5.0W6.2L5.0W7.0L3.1L6.8W6.8L6.5L2015-062017-122021-092025-08
WinLossTrend

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

Ortega · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair RodriguezRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09

News & Media

Frankie Edgar · Brian Ortega
← Back to fights