UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
48%
Griffin
52%
Curtis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Max
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20 – 13
5'11"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Chris
Chris Curtis
"Action-Man"
32 – 13
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Curtis

This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 48% vs Curtis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Curtis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Griffin
Curtis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
75"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Curtis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
49.5
39.0
Performance Avg
46.3
37
Quality of Victory
41
74
Momentum Score
54
Griffin
Curtis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
24
8
Body
11
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance34
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Griffin
Curtis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Curtis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
12/45 fights
Griffin
Curtis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Curtis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Curtis
Striking4.6 / 6.1Volume5.8 / 5.1Grappling1.5 / 1.2Wrestling1.1 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Griffin
Strike Zones
Curtis
Griffin
Attacking
12HEAD8BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD11BODY0LEGS35 absorbed
Curtis
Attacking
24HEAD11BODY0LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD8BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (57% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Curtis targets the head (69% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Curtis
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.3L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L7.0W5.4W4.5W6.1L4.6W7.6L5.9W4.8L6.2L6.8L2016-082019-022021-032024-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Curtis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.9
0105.0W6.6W5.8W6.4L6.4W5.8L4.5W6.8L5.0L5.1W7.1L2021-112022-072024-012025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Curtis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Max Griffin · Chris Curtis
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