METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
48%
Griffin
52%
Curtis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris CurtiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Max Griffin · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Curtis
→
Actual result
Curtis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 48% vs Curtis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinCurtis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Curtis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
75"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Curtis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
49.5
39.0
Performance Avg
46.3
37
Quality of Victory
41
74
Momentum Score
54
Griffin
Curtis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.8
Style: Volume
5.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
24
8
Body
11
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance34
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Griffin
Curtis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Curtis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/33 fights
Chin rating based on
12/45 fights
Griffin
Curtis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Curtis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Curtis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
GriffinCurtis
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedCurtis
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (57% of attacks) — Curtis absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Curtis targets the head (69% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Curtis
0/0R00/0
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
Curtis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Brendan AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01