UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Lightweight
VS
49%
Gomi
51%
Vallie-Flagg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vallie-Flagg
This is a genuine toss-up — Gomi at 49% vs Vallie-Flagg at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gomi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Gomi throws more volume but Vallie-Flagg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gomi's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
47+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
10.3
37.1
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
28
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
16
10
Body
7
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
36Distance21
8Clinch4
0Ground3
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
28
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gomi
Vallie-Flagg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
GomiVallie-Flagg
Strike Zones
Gomi
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedVallie-Flagg
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gomi targets the head (70% of attacks) — Vallie-Flagg absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Vallie-Flagg targets the head (57% of attacks) — Gomi absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gomi
RND
Vallie-Flagg
0/0R00/0
Gomi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Vallie-Flagg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gomi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dong Hyun MaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon TuckRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · KO · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
Vallie-Flagg · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Elias SilverioRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
W · Dec · R3
Yves EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02