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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Lightweight
VS
51%
Hernandez
49%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:23
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
5'9"72" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50
★ Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:23
def. Alexander Hernandez · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Moicano wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 51% vs Moicano at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HernandezMoicano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
50.3
47.4
Performance Avg
51.7
42
Quality of Victory
43
90
Momentum Score
64
Hernandez
Moicano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
6.3
5.1
Style: Volume
3.8
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
0
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance16
1Clinch4
0Ground3
Hernandez
Moicano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.4
0
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hernandez
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/28 fights
Hernandez
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
64
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
Hernandez
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
62%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hernandez
Moicano
Striking6.1 / 2.1Volume5.1 / 3.8Grappling1.2 / 5.0Wrestling0.8 / 3.5Submission0.0 / 5.4Pressure5.2 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Hernandez
Strike Zones
Moicano
Hernandez
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD5BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
17HEAD5BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (90% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (74% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hernandez
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0

Hernandez · Last 5

Upcoming
Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego Ferreira
KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase Hooper
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt Holobaugh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

Moicano · Last 5

Upcoming
Brian Ortega
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · Sub · R2
Chris Duncan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam Makhachev
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint Denis
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Alexander Hernandez · Renato Moicano
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