METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Lightweight
VS
51%
Hernandez
49%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:23
★ Official Result
Renato MoicanowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:23
def. Alexander Hernandez · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hernandez
→
Actual result
Moicano wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 51% vs Moicano at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HernandezMoicano
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hernandez
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
50.3
47.4
Performance Avg
51.7
42
Quality of Victory
43
90
Momentum Score
64
Hernandez
Moicano
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
0
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance16
1Clinch4
0Ground3
Hernandez
Moicano
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Hernandez
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
64
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Hernandez
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
62%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hernandez
Moicano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
HernandezMoicano
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMoicano
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (90% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (74% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hernandez
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Moicano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
Moicano · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04