UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Lightweight
VS
51%
Hernandez
49%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:23
Alexander
Alexander Hernandez
"El Gran Chango"
18 – 9
5'9"72" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hernandez

This is a genuine toss-up — Hernandez at 51% vs Moicano at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hernandez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hernandez
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
33+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hernandez
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
50.3
47.4
Performance Avg
51.7
42
Quality of Victory
43
90
Momentum Score
64
Hernandez
Moicano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
0
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance16
1Clinch4
0Ground3
Hernandez
Moicano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hernandez
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Hernandez
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
64
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Hernandez
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
62%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hernandez
Moicano
Striking6.1 / 2.1Volume5.1 / 3.8Grappling1.2 / 5.0Wrestling0.8 / 3.5Submission0.0 / 5.4Pressure5.2 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Hernandez
Strike Zones
Moicano
Hernandez
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD5BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Moicano
Attacking
17HEAD5BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hernandez targets the head (90% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (74% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hernandez
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L5.0W5.7L5.0W3.5L3.9L4.9W5.7L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.8W6.3W6.3L2018-032020-102023-022025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Alexander Hernandez · Renato Moicano
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