UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Bantamweight
VS
36%
Johns
64%
Marcos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marcos
Marcos holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marcos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johns
Marcos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+69"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johns
Marcos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
61.0
41.8
Performance Avg
54.9
33
Quality of Victory
36
10
Momentum Score
83
Johns
Marcos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
60%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
10
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
20Distance11
0Clinch4
0Ground0
Johns
Marcos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Marcos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Johns
Marcos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
83
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Johns
Marcos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johns
Marcos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
JohnsMarcos
Strike Zones
Johns
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMarcos
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (85% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Marcos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johns
RND
Marcos
0/0R00/0
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Marcos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Johns · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Marcos · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Miles JohnsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3Decision
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Upcoming
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