UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
Las Vegas, USA
14 Sept 2024
Women's Bantamweight
VS
53%
Aldana
47%
Dumont
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Irene
Irene Aldana
15 – 8
5'9"68" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Norma
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldana

This is a genuine toss-up — Aldana at 53% vs Dumont at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Aldana throws more volume but Dumont connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Aldana
Dumont
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
67"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldana
Dumont
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
45.3
46.5
Performance Avg
48.0
39
Quality of Victory
30
81
Momentum Score
50
Aldana
Dumont
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
47
7
Body
14
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
30Distance67
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Aldana
Dumont
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldana
Dumont
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/16 fights
Aldana
Dumont
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
50
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Aldana
Dumont
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldana
Dumont
Striking4.9 / 1.5Volume5.1 / 9.5Grappling2.2 / 2.4Wrestling1.5 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Aldana
Strike Zones
Dumont
Aldana
Attacking
24HEAD7BODY1LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
47HEAD14BODY8LEGS69 absorbed
Dumont
Attacking
47HEAD14BODY8LEGS69 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD7BODY1LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldana targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dumont absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dumont targets the head (68% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldana
RND
Dumont
0/0R00/0

Aldana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W6.1L4.5W5.4W5.6L5.1W6.8W6.7L5.2W6.0L2016-122019-052020-102023-122024-09
WinLossTrend

Dumont · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0101.5L4.5W4.8W4.5W6.8L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.7W5.3W4.9W6.9L2020-022021-102023-042024-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Aldana · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

Dumont · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Germaine de RandamieRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Irene Aldana · Norma Dumont
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