UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Welterweight
VS
31%
Montano
69%
Griffin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Griffin
Griffin holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Montano has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Montano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 63 points.
Griffin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Montano's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Montano
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+76"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Montano
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
46.4
73.3
Performance Avg
39.0
100
Quality of Victory
37
27
Momentum Score
74
Montano
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
14
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Montano
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Montano
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Montano
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
27
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Montano
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Montano
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
MontanoGriffin
Strike Zones
Montano
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Montano targets the head (67% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (93% of attacks) — Montano absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Montano
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Montano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Montano · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Max GriffinRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Randy BrownRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Enrique MarinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07