UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Middleweight
VS
43%
Okami
57%
Belcher
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Belcher
This is a genuine toss-up — Okami at 43% vs Belcher at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Belcher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Belcher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Okami's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Okami
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
44
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Okami
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
22.4
46.5
Performance Avg
53.0
33
Quality of Victory
48
78
Momentum Score
100
Okami
Belcher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Okami
Belcher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Okami
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Okami
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Okami
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
78%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Okami
Belcher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
OkamiBelcher
Strike Zones
Okami
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBelcher
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Okami targets the head (100% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Belcher targets the head (100% of attacks) — Okami absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Okami
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0
Okami · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Belcher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Okami · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Dhiego LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
Belcher · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05