METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Featherweight
VS
6%
Yahya
94%
Nguyen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Steven NguyenwinsKO/TKOR2 · 5:00
def. Mohammad Yahya · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nguyen
→
Actual result
Nguyen wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Nguyen is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YahyaNguyen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Yahya
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Yahya
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
63.7
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
71
Yahya
Nguyen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
0.0
Style: Volume
1.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
29
5
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance15
0Clinch3
0Ground15
Yahya
Nguyen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Yahya
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Yahya
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Yahya
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Nguyen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
YahyaNguyen
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedNguyen
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (79% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (88% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R50/0
Yahya · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Steven NguyenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Nguyen · Last 2
W · KO · R2
Mohammad YahyaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03