METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Featherweight
VS
6%
Yahya
94%
Nguyen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Steven NguyenwinsKO/TKOR2 · 5:00
def. Mohammad Yahya · UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nguyen
→
Actual result
Nguyen wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Nguyen is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Nguyen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yahya's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YahyaNguyen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Yahya
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Yahya
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
63.7
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
71
Yahya
Nguyen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
2.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
29
5
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance15
0Clinch3
0Ground15
Yahya
Nguyen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Yahya
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Yahya
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Yahya
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yahya
Nguyen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
YahyaNguyen
Strike Zones
Yahya
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedNguyen
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (79% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (88% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yahya
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R50/0
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Nguyen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Yahya · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Steven NguyenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekRating 5.8Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Nguyen · Last 2
W · KO · R2
Mohammad YahyaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03