UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Featherweight
VS
6%
Yahya
94%
Nguyen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
Mohammad
Mohammad Yahya
"The UAE Warrior"
12 – 6
5'9"73" reachSwitch32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 4
Steven
Steven Nguyen
"The Ninja"
10 – 2
Knockout Artist33 yrsSwitch73" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nguyen

Nguyen is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nguyen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.

Nguyen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Yahya's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Yahya
Nguyen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
73"
Reach
73"
32+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Switch
Yahya
Nguyen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.3
63.7
0.0
Performance Avg
53.0
0
Quality of Victory
55
0
Momentum Score
71
Yahya
Nguyen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.4
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
29
5
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance15
0Clinch3
0Ground15
Yahya
Nguyen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Yahya
Nguyen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/18 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Yahya
Nguyen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
71
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Yahya
Nguyen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yahya
Nguyen
Striking0.0 / 10.0Volume0.0 / 1.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Yahya
Strike Zones
Nguyen
Yahya
Attacking
19HEAD5BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD2BODY2LEGS33 absorbed
Nguyen
Attacking
29HEAD2BODY2LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD5BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the head (79% of attacks) — Nguyen absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Nguyen targets the head (88% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yahya
RND
Nguyen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R50/0

Yahya · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.8L3.1L4.2L2023-102024-082025-07
WinLossTrend

Nguyen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.2W2024-032025-07
WinLossTrend

Yahya · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Steven NguyenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kaue FernandesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PeekRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Nguyen · Last 2

W · KO · R2
Mohammad YahyaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Mohammad Yahya · Steven Nguyen
← Back to fights