METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Welterweight
VS
68%
Roberts
32%
Zawada
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Danny RobertswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. David Zawada · UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberts
→
Actual result
Roberts wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Zawada has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zawada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RobertsZawada
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Roberts
Zawada
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Zawada
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.8
15.0
45.6
Performance Avg
40.4
43
Quality of Victory
54
45
Momentum Score
13
Roberts
Zawada
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.4
Style: Volume
0.4
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
1
Body
4
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch3
16Ground0
Roberts
Zawada
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Zawada
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
5/24 fights
Roberts
Zawada
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Roberts
Zawada
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Zawada
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
RobertsZawada
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedZawada
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (71% of attacks) — Zawada absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Zawada targets the head (64% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Zawada
0/0R00/0
Roberts · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
Zawada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Sub · R1
Abubakar NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · KO · R3
Li JingliangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07