METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
74%
Jr.
26%
Roberson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:25
Khalil
Khalil Rountree Jr.
157
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw36 yrsStriker
CFR 54
KR
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
96
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Khalil Rountree Jr.winsKO/TKOR2 · 0:25
def. Karl Roberson · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jr.
Actual result
Jr. wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Jr. is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Jr.'s chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberson has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
Jr.Roberson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Jr.
Roberson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
76"+
Reach
74"
36
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Jr.
Roberson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
18.7
52.0
Performance Avg
38.3
48
Quality of Victory
37
77
Momentum Score
25
Jr.
Roberson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
4.7
3.6
Style: Volume
4.8
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Jr.
Roberson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jr.
Roberson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Jr.
Roberson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
25
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Jr.
Roberson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jr.
Roberson
Striking8.2 / 0.8Volume3.6 / 4.8Grappling0.7 / 5.2Wrestling0.5 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure6.7 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Jr.
Strike Zones
Roberson
Jr.
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Roberson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (75% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jr.
RND
Roberson
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Jr. · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jiri Prochazka
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal Hill
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex Pereira
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris Daukaus
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

Roberson · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kennedy Nzechukwu
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan Allen
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin Vettori
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman Kopylov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

News & Media

Khalil Rountree Jr. · Karl Roberson
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