UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
Atlanta, USA
13 Apr 2019
Welterweight
VS
24%
Millender
76%
Muhammad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Curtis Millender
"Curtious"
17 – 5
6'2"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Belal
Belal Muhammad
"Remember the Name"
24 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muhammad

Muhammad is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Millender has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Millender
Muhammad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Millender
Muhammad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
56.8
45.0
Performance Avg
48.5
35
Quality of Victory
31
70
Momentum Score
100
Millender
Muhammad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
1
Body
1
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground7
Millender
Muhammad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Millender
Muhammad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
19 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
22/29 fights
Millender
Muhammad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Millender
Muhammad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Millender
Muhammad
Striking4.5 / 2.8Volume6.5 / 7.9Grappling1.6 / 2.5Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure4.1 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Millender
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Millender
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY4LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Muhammad
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY4LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Millender targets the head (44% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Muhammad targets the head (93% of attacks) — Millender absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Millender
RND
Muhammad
0/0R00/0

Millender · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.1W4.5W2.0L6.6L2018-022018-072018-122019-032019-04
WinLossTrend

Muhammad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.5W3.0L5.4W4.5W4.6W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1W6.0W6.4W4.7W5.6W7.0L7.0L2016-072017-112020-062022-102025-11
WinLossTrend

Millender · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Muhammad · Last 5

Upcoming
Gabriel Bonfim
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Curtis Millender · Belal Muhammad
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