METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Women's Featherweight
VS
40%
Justino
60%
Spencer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cristiane JustinowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felicia Spencer · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spencer
→
Actual result
Justino wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Spencer holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Justino has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JustinoSpencer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Justino
Spencer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Justino
Spencer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.9
41.9
75.9
Performance Avg
67.0
69
Quality of Victory
78
100
Momentum Score
85
Justino
Spencer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.4
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
8.5
4.4
Style: Volume
1.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
7
16
Body
6
11
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance15
14Clinch2
0Ground1
Justino
Spencer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Justino
Spencer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Justino
Spencer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Justino
Spencer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Justino
Spencer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
JustinoSpencer
Strike Zones
Justino
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSpencer
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Justino targets the head (49% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Spencer targets the head (39% of attacks) — Justino absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Justino
RND
Spencer
0/0R00/0
Justino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Felicia SpencerDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosKO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Holly HolmDecision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Tonya EvingerKO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
Spencer · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Leah LetsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesDecision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Zarah FairnKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Cristiane JustinoDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07