METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Women's Featherweight
VS
40%
Justino
60%
Spencer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CJ
Cristiane Justino
"Cyborg"
21 – 2
5'8"68" reachOrthodox41 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 28
FS
Felicia Spencer
"FeeNom"
9 – 3
Knockout Artist35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 42
★ Official Result
Cristiane JustinowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felicia Spencer · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spencer
→
Actual result
Justino wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Spencer holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Justino has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Justino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JustinoSpencer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Justino
Spencer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
41
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Justino
Spencer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.9
41.9
75.9
Performance Avg
67.0
69
Quality of Victory
78
100
Momentum Score
85
Justino
Spencer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
1.8
61%
Strike Accuracy
60%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
7
16
Body
6
11
Leg
5
RangeRange
39Distance15
14Clinch2
0Ground1
Justino
Spencer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Justino
Spencer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Justino
Spencer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Justino
Spencer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Justino
Spencer
Striking8.4 / 7.7Volume4.4 / 1.0Grappling0.8 / 2.7Wrestling0.6 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure7.2 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Justino
Strike Zones
Spencer
Justino
Attacking
26HEAD16BODY11LEGS53 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD6BODY5LEGS18 absorbed
Spencer
Attacking
7HEAD6BODY5LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD16BODY11LEGS53 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Justino targets the head (49% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Spencer targets the head (39% of attacks) — Justino absorbs 39% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Justino
RND
Spencer
0/0R00/0

Justino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.1W5.2W4.6W5.1W2.7L4.8W2016-052017-072018-032019-07
WinLossTrend

Spencer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W5.5L5.0W6.7L6.0L5.5W2019-052019-072020-022020-062021-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Justino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · KO · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Holly HolmRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Tonya EvingerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07

Spencer · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Leah LetsonRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Cristiane JustinoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07

News & Media

Cristiane Justino · Felicia Spencer
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