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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Pettis
43%
Hobar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SP
Sergio Pettis
185
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MH
Matt Hobar
"The Crowbar"
93
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 11
★ Official Result
Sergio PettiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Hobar · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pettis
Actual result
Pettis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pettis at 57% vs Hobar at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PettisHobar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Pettis
Hobar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+70"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pettis
Hobar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
10.8
40.7
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
55
Momentum Score
33
Pettis
Hobar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
1.0
9.3
Style: Volume
8.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
8
3
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance10
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Pettis
Hobar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Hobar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Pettis
Hobar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
33
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pettis
Hobar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Hobar
Striking1.3 / 0.7Volume9.3 / 8.7Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.9 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Pettis
Strike Zones
Hobar
Pettis
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Hobar
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (88% of attacks) — Hobar absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Hobar targets the head (57% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Hobar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tyson Nam
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob Font
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier Formiga
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph Benavidez
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry Cejudo
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

Hobar · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Sergio Pettis
Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Aaron Phillips
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Pedro Munhoz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05

News & Media

Sergio Pettis · Matt Hobar
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