UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Pettis
43%
Hobar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SP
Sergio Pettis
18 – 5
5'6"69" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MH
Matt Hobar
"The Crowbar"
9 – 3
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pettis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pettis at 57% vs Hobar at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pettis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pettis
Hobar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+70"
32+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pettis
Hobar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
10.8
40.7
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
55
Momentum Score
33
Pettis
Hobar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
32%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
8
3
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance10
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Pettis
Hobar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Hobar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/12 fights
Pettis
Hobar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
33
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pettis
Hobar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Hobar
Striking1.3 / 0.7Volume9.3 / 8.7Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.9 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Pettis
Strike Zones
Hobar
Pettis
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Hobar
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (88% of attacks) — Hobar absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Hobar targets the head (57% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Hobar
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Pettis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.2L4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.4W7.0L4.5W5.5L6.7L4.7W2013-112015-032017-082018-122019-09
WinLossTrend

Hobar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0102.0L4.5W5.5L2014-052014-082014-12
WinLossTrend

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

Hobar · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Aaron PhillipsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Pedro MunhozRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05

News & Media

Sergio Pettis · Matt Hobar
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