UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Minneapolis, USA
29 Jun 2019
Flyweight
VS
48%
Formiga
52%
Benavidez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Benavidez
This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 48% vs Benavidez at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Benavidez throws more volume but Formiga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Benavidez has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Formiga
Benavidez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Formiga
Benavidez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
16.0
42.7
Performance Avg
51.4
34
Quality of Victory
38
64
Momentum Score
40
Formiga
Benavidez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
17
0
Body
7
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
8Distance23
0Clinch3
0Ground3
Formiga
Benavidez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Formiga
Benavidez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
21/36 fights
Formiga
Benavidez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Formiga
Benavidez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Formiga
Benavidez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
FormigaBenavidez
Strike Zones
Formiga
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedBenavidez
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the head (100% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Benavidez targets the head (59% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Formiga
RND
Benavidez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Formiga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Benavidez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Formiga · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Benavidez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier FormigaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01