METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Kallang, Singapore
26 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
53%
Maia
47%
Askren
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:54
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR3 · 3:54
def. Ben Askren · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 53% vs Askren at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Askren has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Askren has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaAskren
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Askren
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Askren
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
18.6
50.8
Performance Avg
45.7
40
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
52
Maia
Askren
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
5.0
Style: Volume
0.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance11
4Clinch1
2Ground2
Maia
Askren
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
11
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Askren
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Maia
Askren
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Maia
Askren
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Askren
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MaiaAskren
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedAskren
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (72% of attacks) — Askren absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Askren targets the head (86% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Askren
0/0R00/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Askren · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Demian MaiaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalKO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
Robbie LawlerSubmission
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03