UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Kallang, Singapore
26 Oct 2019
Welterweight
VS
64%
Maia
36%
Askren
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:54
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
BA
Ben Askren
"Funky"
19 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Askren has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Askren has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Askren has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Askren has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Askren
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Askren
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
18.6
50.8
Performance Avg
45.7
40
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
52
Maia
Askren
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance11
4Clinch1
2Ground2
Maia
Askren
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Askren
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Maia
Askren
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Maia
Askren
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Askren
Striking1.8 / 0.7Volume5.0 / 0.7Grappling5.1 / 8.0Wrestling3.6 / 5.6Submission5.0 / 10.0Pressure5.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Maia
Strike Zones
Askren
Maia
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Askren
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (72% of attacks) — Askren absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Askren targets the head (86% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Askren
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Askren · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0105.3W1.5L2.8L2019-032019-072019-10
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Askren · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Demian MaiaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Jorge MasvidalRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Sub · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

News & Media

Demian Maia · Ben Askren
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