UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Oakland, USA
7 Aug 2010
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Nelson
50%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RN
Roy Nelson
"Big Country"
22 – 14
6'0"73" reachOrthodox49 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 19
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
Striker4-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nelson

This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 50% vs Santos at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nelson
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+77"
49
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
18.7
55.6
Performance Avg
57.8
61
Quality of Victory
53
26
Momentum Score
59
Nelson
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
37
1
Body
16
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance48
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Nelson
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nelson
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Nelson
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Nelson
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nelson
Santos
Striking9.8 / 8.0Volume1.8 / 4.0Grappling0.3 / 0.8Wrestling0.2 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.6 / 6.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Nelson
Strike Zones
Santos
Nelson
Attacking
19HEAD1BODY1LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD16BODY1LEGS54 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
37HEAD16BODY1LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD1BODY1LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (69% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nelson
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nelson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.5L5.0W2.1L5.5L5.5L4.5W6.7L5.2W6.8L2009-122012-022013-102016-022017-04
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Nelson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

News & Media

Roy Nelson · Junior Dos Santos
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