METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Oakland, USA
7 Aug 2010
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Nelson
50%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Junior Dos SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roy Nelson · UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nelson
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 50% vs Santos at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NelsonSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nelson
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+77"
50
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
18.7
55.6
Performance Avg
57.8
61
Quality of Victory
53
26
Momentum Score
59
Nelson
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
6.6
1.8
Style: Volume
4.0
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
10 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
37
1
Body
16
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance48
3Clinch6
0Ground0
Nelson
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nelson
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
23/30 fights
Nelson
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Nelson
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
NelsonSantos
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
54 absorbedSantos
Attacking
54 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (69% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneKO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03