UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Sydney, Australia
20 Feb 2010
Middleweight
VS
48%
Silva
52%
Bisping
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bisping
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 48% vs Bisping at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bisping has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bisping has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Bisping
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+75"
49
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Bisping
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
20.5
48.5
Performance Avg
55.3
53
Quality of Victory
46
72
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Bisping
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
0
Body
4
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance16
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Silva
Bisping
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Bisping
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/48 fights
Chin rating based on
29/39 fights
Silva
Bisping
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Silva
Bisping
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
10
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Bisping
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
SilvaBisping
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBisping
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the legs (56% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Bisping targets the head (71% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Bisping
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Bisping · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · KO · R2
Cung LeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Chris LebenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Bisping · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02