METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Mexico City, Mexico
13 Jun 2015
Featherweight
VS
77%
Rodriguez
23%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Yair RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Rosa · UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rodriguez is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
69"
33+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Rodriguez
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.4
19.4
60.2
Performance Avg
36.3
51
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
20
Rodriguez
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
4.0
5.8
Style: Volume
5.6
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
2
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
6Ground9
Rodriguez
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Rodriguez
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
RodriguezRosa
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedRosa
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (87% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Josh EmmettSubmission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · KO · R1
Brian OrtegaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02