UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
50%
Rodriguez
50%
Hughes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodriguez
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 50% vs Hughes at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Hughes throws more volume but Rodriguez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Rodriguez
Hughes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+64"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Hughes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
49.8
43.6
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
85
Momentum Score
76
Rodriguez
Hughes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
18
16
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance17
11Clinch5
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Hughes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Hughes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Rodriguez
Hughes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
76
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Hughes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Hughes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
RodriguezHughes
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedHughes
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (51% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Hughes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Hughes
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hughes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 5.2Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Piera RodriguezRating 6.3Decision
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