UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Brooklyn, USA
11 Feb 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Teixeira
56%
Cannonier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cannonier
This is a genuine toss-up — Teixeira at 44% vs Cannonier at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cannonier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cannonier has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Cannonier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"
Reach
+77"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Teixeira
Cannonier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
54.3
58.4
Performance Avg
49.3
51
Quality of Victory
46
59
Momentum Score
82
Teixeira
Cannonier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Teixeira
Cannonier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Cannonier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
22
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Teixeira
Cannonier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
82
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Teixeira
Cannonier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Cannonier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
TeixeiraCannonier
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCannonier
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cannonier targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Cannonier
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
