UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Middleweight
VS
75%
Rockhold
25%
Branch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rockhold
Rockhold is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rockhold has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Rockhold has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rockhold's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Branch has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rockhold
Branch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
+78"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rockhold
Branch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.5
11.9
60.7
Performance Avg
38.0
65
Quality of Victory
34
85
Momentum Score
36
Rockhold
Branch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.5
62%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
0
2
Body
5
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
1Clinch2
34Ground0
Rockhold
Branch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rockhold
Branch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/28 fights
Rockhold
Branch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rockhold
Branch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rockhold
Branch
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
RockholdBranch
Strike Zones
Rockhold
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBranch
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rockhold targets the head (84% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Branch targets the body (83% of attacks) — Rockhold absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rockhold
RND
Branch
0/0R00/0
Rockhold · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Branch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Rockhold · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R2
David BranchRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Michael BispingRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Branch · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 2.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05