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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
Pittsburgh, USA
16 Sept 2017
Middleweight
VS
75%
Rockhold
25%
Branch
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:05
Luke
Luke Rockhold
166
6'3"77" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 36
DB
David Branch
226
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'1"
CFR 12
★ Official Result
Luke RockholdwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:05
def. David Branch · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rockhold
Actual result
Rockhold wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Rockhold is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rockhold has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Risk flags

Rockhold's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Branch has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RockholdBranch
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rockhold
Branch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
+78"
41+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rockhold
Branch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.5
11.9
60.7
Performance Avg
38.0
65
Quality of Victory
34
85
Momentum Score
36
Rockhold
Branch
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
3.1
1.1
Style: Volume
6.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
0
2
Body
5
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
1Clinch2
34Ground0
Rockhold
Branch
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rockhold
Branch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
11/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/28 fights
Rockhold
Branch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
36
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rockhold
Branch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rockhold
Branch
Striking6.1 / 3.4Volume1.1 / 6.9Grappling4.0 / 1.8Wrestling2.8 / 1.3Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.6 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Rockhold
Strike Zones
Branch
Rockhold
Attacking
36HEAD2BODY5LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD5BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Branch
Attacking
0HEAD5BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD2BODY5LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rockhold targets the head (84% of attacks) — Branch absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Branch targets the body (83% of attacks) — Rockhold absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rockhold
RND
Branch
0/0R00/0

Rockhold · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Paulo Costa
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Jan Blachowicz
KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · KO · R3
Yoel Romero
KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R2
David Branch
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Michael Bisping
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06

Branch · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jack Hermansson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Jared Cannonier
KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Thiago Santos
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Luke Rockhold
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Krzysztof Jotko
Decision
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05

News & Media

Luke Rockhold · David Branch
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