UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3
Houston, USA
19 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
40%
Waldburger
60%
Amagov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:00
TW
TJ Waldburger
16 – 9
5'11"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
AA
Adlan Amagov
"Borz"
14 – 2
Volume Striker2-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Amagov

Amagov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Waldburger has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Amagov throws more volume but Waldburger connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Waldburger's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Waldburger
Amagov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waldburger
Amagov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
25.1
47.4
Performance Avg
65.5
46
Quality of Victory
43
50
Momentum Score
100
Waldburger
Amagov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
2.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
1
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch5
0Ground7
Waldburger
Amagov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waldburger
Amagov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Waldburger
Amagov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Waldburger
Amagov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Waldburger
Amagov
Striking1.0 / 7.0Volume3.0 / 6.0Grappling6.6 / 1.2Wrestling4.6 / 0.8Submission7.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Waldburger
Strike Zones
Amagov
Waldburger
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Amagov
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Waldburger targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Amagov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Amagov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Waldburger absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Waldburger
RND
Amagov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Waldburger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.0L2010-092011-092012-062013-102014-02
WinLossTrend

Amagov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W2013-042013-10
WinLossTrend

Waldburger · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R1
Adlan AmagovRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jake HechtRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03

Amagov · Last 2

W · KO · R1
TJ WaldburgerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Chris SpangRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

News & Media

TJ Waldburger · Adlan Amagov
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