UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Welterweight
VS
37%
Ebersole
63%
Akhmedov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Akhmedov
Akhmedov holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Ebersole has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ebersole has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Akhmedov has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
45
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
30.2
44.2
Performance Avg
47.0
32
Quality of Victory
36
75
Momentum Score
100
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
34%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
4
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance14
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
40
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/69 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
100
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ebersole
Akhmedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
EbersoleAkhmedov
Strike Zones
Ebersole
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedAkhmedov
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ebersole targets the head (50% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (47% of attacks) — Ebersole absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ebersole
RND
Akhmedov
0/0R00/0
Ebersole · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Akhmedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ebersole · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Omari AkhmedovRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
James HeadRating 5.5Decision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Sub · R2
Tom BreeseRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · Dec · R3
Ian HeinischRating 4.5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09