UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Edmonton, Canada
2 Nov 2024
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Jourdain
51%
Henry
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Henry
This is a genuine toss-up — Jourdain at 49% vs Henry at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jourdain has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Jourdain throws more volume but Henry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jourdain's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jourdain
Henry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Switch
Jourdain
Henry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
52.9
48.6
Performance Avg
45.4
44
Quality of Victory
31
51
Momentum Score
81
Jourdain
Henry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
1
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Jourdain
Henry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jourdain
Henry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Jourdain
Henry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
81
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Jourdain
Henry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jourdain
Henry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
JourdainHenry
Strike Zones
Jourdain
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHenry
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jourdain targets the head (64% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Henry targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jourdain
RND
Henry
0/0R00/0
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Henry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jourdain · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantRating 5.8Submission
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W · Sub · R2
Victor HenryRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 4.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
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Henry · Last 5
Upcoming
Bryce MitchellUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · KO · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9KO/TKO
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Upcoming
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