UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
12 Sept 2020
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Romanov
7%
Martinez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Romanov
Romanov is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Romanov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Striking split: Romanov throws more volume but Martinez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Romanov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Romanov
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
35+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Romanov
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
3.7
52.6
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
70
Momentum Score
0
Romanov
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
5
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Romanov
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Romanov
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/23 fights
Romanov
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Romanov
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Romanov
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RomanovMartinez
Strike Zones
Romanov
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Romanov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Romanov
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Romanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Romanov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 4.8Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander VolkovRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Martinez · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Josh ParisianRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R2
Alexandr RomanovRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09