UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
45%
Cerminara
55%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldana
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 45% vs Aldana at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Aldana has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cerminara
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
68"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
50.5
40.9
Performance Avg
46.5
25
Quality of Victory
39
85
Momentum Score
81
Cerminara
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
24
9
Body
5
16
Leg
10
RangeRange
49Distance36
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Cerminara
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Cerminara
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Cerminara
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Aldana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
CerminaraAldana
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedAldana
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (50% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (62% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Aldana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
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L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
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