UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Bantamweight
VS
59%
Dodson
41%
Gamburyan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:37
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22 – 12
5'3"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dodson

This is a genuine toss-up — Dodson at 59% vs Gamburyan at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Dodson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gamburyan has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dodson
Gamburyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
66"
Reach
+67"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dodson
Gamburyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
15.1
50.7
Performance Avg
40.4
45
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
63
Dodson
Gamburyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
9Clinch0
2Ground0
Dodson
Gamburyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dodson
Gamburyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
14
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Dodson
Gamburyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Dodson
Gamburyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dodson
Gamburyan
Striking6.2 / 0.9Volume4.4 / 4.9Grappling1.0 / 5.2Wrestling0.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure5.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Dodson
Strike Zones
Gamburyan
Dodson
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Gamburyan
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (94% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (50% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dodson
RND
Gamburyan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Gamburyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062009-012013-082016-042016-11
WinLossTrend

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

News & Media

John Dodson · Manvel Gamburyan
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