METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Featherweight
VS
42%
Siver
58%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dennis SiverwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rosa
→
Actual result
Siver wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Siver at 42% vs Rosa at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Siver's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SiverRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Siver
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
70"+
Reach
69"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Siver
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
19.4
46.1
Performance Avg
36.3
37
Quality of Victory
35
43
Momentum Score
20
Siver
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
4.0
5.9
Style: Volume
5.6
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Siver
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Siver
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Siver
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Siver
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Siver
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
SiverRosa
Strike Zones
Siver
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedRosa
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Siver targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (33% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Siver
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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Darrick MinnerDecision
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