UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Bantamweight
VS
95%
Bautista
5%
Son
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mario
Mario Bautista
17 – 3
5'9"69" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
JS
Jin Soo Son
9 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'6"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bautista

Bautista is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bautista has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.

Bautista has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bautista's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bautista
Son
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
69"
Reach
69"
32+
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Bautista
Son
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
2.7
54.6
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
73
Momentum Score
0
Bautista
Son
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
2.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
31
14
Body
11
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
53Distance34
7Clinch8
0Ground0
Bautista
Son
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bautista
Son
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Bautista
Son
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bautista
Son
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bautista
Son
Striking2.5 / 0.0Volume5.9 / 0.0Grappling4.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Bautista
Strike Zones
Son
Bautista
Attacking
43HEAD14BODY3LEGS60 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD11BODY0LEGS42 absorbed
Son
Attacking
31HEAD11BODY0LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
43HEAD14BODY3LEGS60 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bautista targets the head (72% of attacks) — Son absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Son targets the head (74% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bautista
RND
Son
0/0R00/0

Bautista · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0103.0L4.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W5.3W5.0W5.0W5.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W6.8L6.1W2019-012022-022023-082025-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Son · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.8
0107.0L6.6L2018-092019-07
WinLossTrend

Bautista · Last 5

Upcoming
Cory Sandhagen
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R2
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

Son · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09

News & Media

Mario Bautista · Jin Soo Son
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