METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Grasso
55%
Suarez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
Alexa
Alexa Grasso
17 – 5
5'5"66" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Tatiana
Tatiana Suarez
13 – 1
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'5"
CFR 73
★ Official Result
Tatiana SuarezwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:44
def. Alexa Grasso · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Suarez
→
Actual result
Suarez wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Grasso at 45% vs Suarez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Grasso throws more volume but Suarez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GrassoSuarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Grasso
Suarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
66"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Grasso
Suarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
72.7
52.8
Performance Avg
64.5
45
Quality of Victory
48
84
Momentum Score
100
Grasso
Suarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
59%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
4Clinch0
2Ground1
Grasso
Suarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
5.6
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Grasso
Suarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/22 fights
Chin rating based on
10/14 fights
Grasso
Suarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Grasso
Suarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grasso
Suarez
Striking2.4 / 2.9Volume6.6 / 4.5Grappling3.4 / 5.2Wrestling2.4 / 3.7Submission2.2 / 5.6Pressure4.3 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Grasso
Strike Zones
Suarez
Grasso
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Suarez
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grasso targets the head (67% of attacks) — Suarez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Suarez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grasso
RND
Suarez
0/0R00/0

Grasso · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5L4.5W3.4L4.5W5.8L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.2W6.7W6.9L7.0L6.0W2016-112019-062022-032025-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Suarez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W6.2W5.8W4.5W6.3W6.0W7.3L5.6W5.7W2016-072018-092023-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Grasso · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Suarez · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Montana De La RosaRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Alexa Grasso · Tatiana Suarez
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