METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Welterweight
VS
27%
Condit
73%
McGee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlos ConditwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Court McGee · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McGee
→
Actual result
Condit wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
McGee is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Condit has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditMcGee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
McGee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
McGee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
38.7
47.8
Performance Avg
40.1
48
Quality of Victory
36
20
Momentum Score
50
Condit
McGee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
3.3
4.5
Style: Volume
6.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
3
6
Body
11
9
Leg
13
RangeRange
42Distance27
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Condit
McGee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Condit
McGee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
25/37 fights
Condit
McGee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Condit
McGee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
27%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
McGee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
ConditMcGee
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMcGee
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (65% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯McGee targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
McGee
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaSubmission
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L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraSubmission
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McGee · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
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