UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Las Vegas, USA
29 Jun 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
31%
Waterson-Gomez
69%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
5'3"62" reachOrthodox40 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
Robertson holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Waterson-Gomez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Waterson-Gomez throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Waterson-Gomez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'5"
62"
Reach
+63"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
59.1
36.8
Performance Avg
55.0
35
Quality of Victory
45
0
Momentum Score
74
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground22
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/31 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
74
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
7
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waterson-Gomez
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Waterson-GomezRobertson
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (96% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waterson-Gomez
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Waterson-Gomez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Waterson-Gomez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01